OpinioNation November 28th

I dare you not to laugh, the gang has a great time with Special Guest Kurt Schlichter @KurtSchlichter. We review our first nasty comment with our panel, discuss the entitlement culture in America and solutions that are serious and not so serious. Fiscal Cliff Dithering towards disaster. Does Lindsay Graham live on Greta ‘s show? Whether it matters if its Ambassador Rice or John Kerry for Secretary of State. The panel wraps with The Bottom Line Segment where we weigh in on critical issues of the day such as Angus T Jones, Lei Zheghfu and Chinese cronyism or just how awful the sex tape really is.

Next week the show starts at 10pm Eastern/ 7 Pm Pacific on Wednesdays . See you then.

OpinioNation With Jon Rollings – 11/28
Jon welcomes the panel Bruce Carroll @GayPatriot Amy Otto @CAAmyO Mike from Loudmouthelephant.com @Lmelephantblog AND SPECIAL GUEST Kurt Schlichter @KurtSchlichter.
Listen to Podcast: http://the405radiolive.wordpress.com/2012/11/28/opinionation-with-jon-rollings-1128/

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Deal or No Deal

Lots of back and forth on fiscal cliff options. The problem is , the back and forth is between just one party. The trio of McCain, Graham, and Chambliss, can’t seem to miss out an opportunity to bleat and capitulate to no one but the media so they can lauded as “reasonable”

Lets be clear, there’s nothing reasonable about negotiating with yourself in a vacuum.

Here’s the facts
1. Not one Democrat has offered up spending cuts to either offset sequestration.
2. None are serious about entitlement reform.
3. Obama just made an initial offer that is so toxically offensive, you can conclude one of two things: He is either completely incapable of understanding how to build a consensus or he want there to be no deal.

Why Democrats want the Cliff
·They know they need to cut Medicare but don’t want their hands on it
·Their base likes the idea of cutting defense. These are the people that think the Military should have to hold bakesales for their funding because kids do for schools.
· They need tax revenue badly. The tax on the 2% won’t generate much. This way they can blame the Republicans for the tax hike.
They need a villain to distract from the abysmal failure that is liberal policy. The GOP is their favorite foil and this cliff scenario gives them the taxes they really want.

So what do you do when confronted with destructive self serving behavior?
· Accept it. The Republican party needs to realize they are not negotiating with their Dad’s Democrat party. Realize, no matter what, they will look for a way to blame you.
· Ignore the popularity polls, leadership is about doing the right thing for the country. The right thing is raising no ones taxes and cutting wasteful government spending. To ensure a safety net for the elderly, entitlement reform is a must but unlikely to be part of the fiscal cliff deal. Its too complicated to get resolved in a few weeks.
· At a minimum, pass a bill in the house extended the Bush tax rates to ensure no one’s taxes go up in the new year and send it to the Senate. Cut this separately so it requires only 51 one votes via reconciliation. Dare the Dems to scuttle it.
Alternatively, the only framework available out there for a Big Deal is Simpson Bowles. It’s the only ready to go plan that would be available before the Cliff. Read more from Guy Benson
· Develop an ability to message as a party with a united front. Someone please find something better for Saxby, Lindsay and the McCain’s of the worlds to focus on besides courting the media for their Miss Congeniality reward.

Compile a bill of immediate cuts that are popular.
Options can include:
Mandatory drug testing for welfare recipients.
10% across the board cut of every budget and department. Its not optimal but it’s a start
Hiring Freeze of federal workers. No backfilling of current openings
Zero based budgeting to replace baseline budgeting.

On the revenue side
If you want the GOP to sacrifice their stand on tax increases which are destructive to our current economic situation, you have to swap it for something that would be stimulative of economic growth

Options include
· Repeal of unproductive regulations from agencies such as the EPA
· Opening of land to energy production
· Repeal of the one of the largest drags on the economy: Obamacare.
Alternatively, get creative and propose taxes on the left’s rich. Surcharges on large malpractice suit rewards for lawyers. Tax public union dues. And of course, close the Hollywood loopholes courtesy of Instapundit
Frankly unless the GOP gets any of the above they should have no interest in raising tax rates

My personal counter offer to the ridiculous deal offered by the White House would be, I’ll give you 2% on the 2% if you eliminate Obamacare, and commit to revisiting Simpson-Bowles. Otherwise, tax rates are steady and sequestration is sadly the only way to get real cuts.

I would ask every Republican to consider just how hard it will be to get reelected without your base. Either stand for your constituents or prepare to exit stage right.

A Few Predictions

My Map  272 Romney/266 Obama is my bet/hope for election day. FL, CO, WI, OH, NC  go to Romney.    More on that here from Peggy Noonan.  So what happens next?

While not on the ballot this election, the debate is fundamentally about the role of Government in our affairs. Either the american people believe that teachers are the answers to all things, per Obama’s only growth initiative offered for his  next four years,  or that reviving a once thriving private sector is our way out of this mess.  If the private sector prevails, this means a move to less government, the blunting of the most egregious taxes that are set to hit the American people in 2013, and implementing a plan that realistically deals with our debts.

At a minimum,  Mitt Romney must repeal Obamacare, roll back EPA and other regulations stifling growth and pass a budget that demonstrates a path to fiscal sanity. All of this most likely without the benefit of a GOP controlled Senate.  Not to mention that a repeal of Dodd-Frank is critical for reviving small banks and that every effort must be made to stoke energy production, incentivize capital formation and risk taking.  I imagine he also won’t have as much latitude to blame his predecessor nor a press complicit in cheerleading his initiatives. The road ahead is not easy so I leave you with a small upside to an Obama loss. The return Government to its proper place in people’s lives. Politicians are not  lightbringers nor Hope incarnate. They work for us and we should remind them of that on Tuesday.

No Matter Who Wins, There’s this..

“We have always known that eternal vigilance is the price of freedom. It’s worse now, because capture of government is so much more important than it once was. There was a time when there was enough freedom that it hardly mattered which brand of crooks ran government. That has not been true for a long time — not during most of your lifetimes, and for much of mine — and it will probably never be true again.- Jerry Pournelle

Via Instapundit today

Second Prize this Election is a Set of Steak Knives..

Third prize is fiscal doom.  Some choice words from David Mamet today in the Jewish Journal:

“Are you prepared to explain to your children not the principles upon which your vote is cast, but its probable effects upon them? Irrespective of your endorsement of liberal sentiments, of fairness and “more equal distribution,” will you explain to your children that top-down economic policies will increasingly limit their ability to find challenging and well-paid work, and that the diminution in employment and income will decrease their opportunity to marry and raise children? Will you explain (as you have observed) that a large part of their incomes will be used to fund programs that they may find immoral, wasteful and/or indeed absurd? And that the bulk of their taxes go to no programs at all, but merely service the debt you entailed on them?” – More from David Mamet here

California Here We Stay by Victor David Hanson

Just the facts on why California is failing.  In those facts of course, lie the way out of this mess.  Worth a read before election day.

“business surveys perennially rank California among the most hostile states to private enterprise, largely because of overregulation, stifling coastal zoning laws, inflated housing costs, and high tax rates. Environmental extremism has cost the state dearly: oil production has plunged 45 percent over the last 25 years, even though California’s Monterey Shale formation has an estimated 15.4 billion barrels of recoverable oil, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Geologists estimate that 3 trillion cubic feet of natural gas sit untapped as well. Those numbers could soar with revolutionary new methods of exploration” – California Here We Stay by Victor David Hanson

More: The four-part solution for California is clear: don’t raise the state’s crushing taxes any higher; reform public-employee compensation; make use of ample natural resources; and stop the flow of illegal aliens. Just focus on those four areas—as California did so well in the past—and in time, the state will return to its bounty of a few decades ago. Many of us intend to stay and see that it does.”

Worth reading from start to finish. Share with your neighbors and Vote California

Elizabeth Emken California Candidate for Senate Interview November 3rd 2012

Elizabeth Emken, GOP Senate Candidate from California, talks about Diane Feinstein refusing to debate her and her outdated left wing solutions for American and California.  Amy Otto @CAAmyO talks to Elizabeth.

Link : http://the405radio.com/ November 3rd 2012 Podcast

Itunes Link : https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-405-live/id548997144?mt=2

Visit www.Emken2012.com to help out her campaign